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HomeNationalPM Update: Tranquil ahead of okay Sunday with only slight rain chance

PM Update: Tranquil ahead of okay Sunday with only slight rain chance


Tolerable toastiness this afternoon, yes? Many mid-80s but comfortable 50s dew points made the air comfortable. Tomorrow should be semi-fine like today, even with a chance for raindrops.

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Through tonight: Other than a stray sprinkle, we should simply be partly cloudy. With warm air slowly infiltrating the area — luckily not accompanied but a major humidity surge — low temperatures remain elevated within a few degrees of 65.

View the current weather at The Washington Post

Tomorrow (Sunday): Outdoor plans look okay but if any limited impacts happen, they may target midday to about 5 p.m. During this time frame, we have the relatively high 10 to 20 percent chance of seeing a brief shower or storm as a front moves through. Breezes from the southwest shift to blow from the northwest as wind speeds amp up near 25 mph occasionally. Skies should prove brighter than not, but passing clouds seem like a given — along with filtered sunshine. Temperatures top out within a few degrees of 85.

Overnight is clearer, cooler and gradually calmer. Temperatures dip to the upper 50s in the cooler spots and mid-60s in a couple of the warmest spots. Dew points head back down toward the crisper, un-humid 50-degree mark.

Potential weather mode change by late week

We’re watching heat and humidity building late this upcoming week along with a slight severe storms potential. A glance at temperature ranges across multiple weather models’ main forecasts collected together with their background simulations — a computation method that gives a sense of forecast confidence — show a decent chance for Thursday and Friday being hot.

Here’s a glance at the potential for strong storms on Friday into Friday night. Right now there’s a 5 to 15 percent chance. This is a very rough estimate and a low confidence forecast to be sure.

Friday’s atmospheric setup gives our severe storms expert Jeffrey Halverson some notion of favorable severe weather conditions, though. Heat and humidity are expected to be present as the pictured cold front, below, comes into our region with cooler, drier air from our northwest.

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